Median recorded eBay sale price for each quarter with 3 or more sales. Dashed line marks the 2026 retail price.
Investment scorecard
Momentum76Measured price direction: the median recorded sale of the last 4 months against the median of 8 to 12 months ago. 50 means flat; small samples are pulled toward 50.
Liquidity87How easily it sells: recorded sales in the last 12 months (300 or more scores 100) and eBay's 90-day sell-through rate.
Scarcity33Demand against supply. For modern pieces, how far the market sits above or below current retail, plus a lift if production has ended. For vintage, how rarely one comes up for sale.
Value entry40Where the latest quarter's median sale sits inside its own 3-year range. Buying near the low scores high; buying at the high scores low.
Condition safety88How safe a typical example is: the age of the design, plus how tightly sale prices cluster (a wide spread means condition and originality swing the price).
The story
Tudor lists the Pelagos 39 reference 25407N at $5,625 in the US (tudorwatch.com, November 2026).
145 recorded eBay sales in the last 12 months, with a typical sale of $4,000.
Our verdict: Sells for about 29% under its $5,625 boutique price. 145 recorded eBay sales in the last 12 months, and prices are up 11% over the year.
Recorded eBay sales from the last 12 months put the typical Tudor Pelagos 39 25407N at $4,000, with the middle half selling between $3,750 and $4,300 (131 sales). Condition, box and papers move the price within that range.
Does the Tudor Pelagos 39 25407N sell above retail?
No. The typical sale of $4,000 is about 29% below the $5,625 retail price.
Is the Tudor Pelagos 39 25407N a good investment?
The Crown Index grades it B+ (78/100) from real resale data, and today's call is hold. Solid resale, with limited room to grow from today's price. Past prices are not a forecast.