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Submariner · 1988 to 2010 · Discontinued

Rolex Submariner Date 16610

“Five-Digit Sub”

80SCORE / 100
A-
Grade A-: strong buy-and-holdToday's call · Wait for a dip
Short termunder 1 yearStrongMid term1 to 3 yearsFairLong term3+ yearsFair

Rank #39 of 113 rated pieces in the Rolex Vault

Retail (1989)$2,500
Typical sale today$9,000Typical range $8,300 to $9,700
Vs retail+260%
1-year+2%

Market range: the middle half of 321 recorded eBay sales in the last 12 months.

Open in the interactive VaultLive eBay listings ↗︎

Market price history

2023202420252026 $9,400

Median recorded eBay sale price for each quarter with 3 or more sales. Dashed line marks the 1989 retail price.

Investment scorecard

Momentum56Measured price direction: the median recorded sale of the last 4 months against the median of 8 to 12 months ago. 50 means flat; small samples are pulled toward 50.
Liquidity100How easily it sells: recorded sales in the last 12 months (300 or more scores 100) and eBay's 90-day sell-through rate.
Scarcity35Demand against supply. For modern pieces, how far the market sits above or below current retail, plus a lift if production has ended. For vintage, how rarely one comes up for sale.
Value entry20Where the latest quarter's median sale sits inside its own 3-year range. Buying near the low scores high; buying at the high scores low.
Condition safety69How safe a typical example is: the age of the design, plus how tightly sale prices cluster (a wide spread means condition and originality swing the price).

The story

Twenty-two years of production made this the Submariner most of the world actually wore. Aluminum bezel, drilled lugs on early examples, and classic 40mm proportions the ceramic era abandoned.

Collectors now prize it as the last 'old shape' Sub Date, and clean full sets keep inching up.

The Submariner of the 1990s and 2000s: . Produced for 22 years, serviced by every watchmaker alive, parts everywhere.

It's the definition of the five-digit value thesis: drilled lugs, aluminum bezel, forever-wearable 40mm, at a few thousand dollars under its ceramic successor. The market has begun treating clean, full-set examples as future classics, because they are.

Our verdict: The sensible Sub. Several thousand under a new one, discontinued, and gently appreciating.

Configurations

Sizes40mm
Case & braceletOystersteel (stainless)
Factory braceletOyster
Factory bezelsBlack aluminum
Notable dialsBlack, tritium then Luminova then SuperLuminova
Caliber3135
Production1988 to 2010 (discontinued)

Recent recorded sales

SoldExamplePrice
Nov 4, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$9,400
Nov 2, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$9,174
Nov 2, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$9,000
Oct 31, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale (2 sold) ↗︎$10,650
Oct 31, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$8,200
Oct 30, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$7,955

Recorded eBay completed sales, logged at our last data refresh.

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Quick answers

How much is a Rolex Submariner Date 16610 worth?

Recorded eBay sales from the last 12 months put the typical Rolex Submariner Date 16610 at $9,000, with the middle half selling between $8,300 and $9,700 (316 sales). Condition, box and papers move the price within that range.

Is the Rolex Submariner Date 16610 a good investment?

The Crown Index grades it A- (80/100) from real resale data, and today's call is wait for a dip. It holds its value well, but the market price is steep right now. Past prices are not a forecast.

Head to head

Rolex Submariner Date 16610 vs Rolex Submariner Date 126610LN →