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Submariner · 2008 to 2020 · Discontinued

Rolex Submariner Date 116619LB

“Smurf”

35SCORE / 100
F
Grade F: the market has spokenToday's call · Avoid as an investment
Short termunder 1 yearWeakMid term1 to 3 yearsWeakLong term3+ yearsWeak

Rank #113 of 113 rated pieces in the Rolex Vault

US retail (2020)$38,350
Market today (estimate)$31,000–37,000
Vs retail-11%
1-yearn/a

Market range is an estimate from dealer and auction pricing: too few recorded eBay sales to set it.

Open in the interactive VaultLive eBay listings ↗︎

Market price history

Retail $38,350 20162020202220242026 $34,000

Average market price for an example in excellent condition. Dashed line marks the us retail (2020).

Investment scorecard

Momentum50Measured price direction: the median recorded sale of the last 4 months against the median of 8 to 12 months ago. 50 means flat; small samples are pulled toward 50.
Liquidity12How easily it sells: recorded sales in the last 12 months (300 or more scores 100) and eBay's 90-day sell-through rate.
Scarcity58Demand against supply. For modern pieces, how far the market sits above or below current retail, plus a lift if production has ended. For vintage, how rarely one comes up for sale.
Value entry50Where the latest quarter's median sale sits inside its own 3-year range. Buying near the low scores high; buying at the high scores low.
Condition safety60How safe a typical example is: the age of the design, plus how tightly sale prices cluster (a wide spread means condition and originality swing the price).

The story

The first white gold Submariner, nicknamed the Smurf for its electric blue bezel and dial. Discontinued in 2020 and replaced by the 41mm 126619LB, which switched to a black dial.

That switch is the whole story: this is now the only blue-dial white gold Sub there will ever be, and the collector market has treated it accordingly.

The Smurf arrived in 2008 as the first white gold Submariner, with a matching blue dial and bezel that no other white gold Sub has worn since. The nickname was mildly mocking; the discontinuation in 2020 made it a legend.

It's the collector's favorite modern gold Sub precisely because its spec died with it: successor went black dial, 41mm. One-generation configurations are how modern Rolex mints future grails, and this is the cleanest example in the Sub line.

Our verdict: Stealth-wealth Sub with a closed production window and a dial and bezel combination unique among white gold Subs. The strongest of the gold Subs.

Configurations

Sizes40mm
Case & bracelet18k white gold
Factory braceletOyster
Factory bezelsBlue Cerachrom on 18k white gold
Notable dialsBlue sunburst
Caliber3135
Production2008 to 2020 (discontinued)

If you like this one

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Quick answers

Is the Rolex Submariner Date 116619LB a good investment?

The Crown Index grades it F (35/100) from real resale data, and today's call is avoid. It has lost value; not one to buy as an investment. Past prices are not a forecast.