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Submariner · 1959 to 1978 · Discontinued · Vintage

Rolex Submariner 5512

“Four-Line 5512”

39SCORE / 100
F
Vintage grade F: the market has spokenToday's call · Avoid as an investment
Short termunder 1 yearFairMid term1 to 3 yearsWeakLong term3+ yearsWeak

Graded on the vintage scale: rank #25 of 26 rated vintage references

Retail (1968)$225
Typical sale today$9,700Typical range $7,800 to $12,000
Vs retail+4300%
1-yearn/a

Market range: the middle half of 19 recorded eBay sales in the last 12 months. Vintage sales include serviced and redialed examples, so the best original pieces can sell above it.

Open in the interactive VaultLive eBay listings ↗︎

Market price history

2023202420252026 $10,000

Median recorded eBay sale price for each quarter with 3 or more sales. Dashed line marks the 1968 retail price.

Investment scorecard

Momentum50Measured price direction: the median recorded sale of the last 4 months against the median of 8 to 12 months ago. 50 means flat; small samples are pulled toward 50.
Liquidity76How easily it sells: recorded sales in the last 12 months (300 or more scores 100) and eBay's 90-day sell-through rate.
Scarcity49Demand against supply. For modern pieces, how far the market sits above or below current retail, plus a lift if production has ended. For vintage, how rarely one comes up for sale.
Value entry56Where the latest quarter's median sale sits inside its own 3-year range. Buying near the low scores high; buying at the high scores low.
Condition safety53How safe a typical example is: the age of the design, plus how tightly sale prices cluster (a wide spread means condition and originality swing the price).

The story

The 5513's chronometer-certified big brother and the thinking collector's blue-chip vintage Sub. Same looks, meaningfully lower production, and the four lines of text at 6 o'clock are the tell.

Early examples with square crown guards or gilt dials trade multiples above the standard examples. This is the no-date Sub that auction houses lead with.

Steve McQueen's personal Submariner was a 5512; it sold at Antiquorum in 2009 for $234,000. The reference also spent the sixties on the wrists of actual frogmen who had no idea they were wearing future auction lots.

Square crown guards, then pointed, then rounded: the early case evolution alone fills reference books, and each stage prices differently. The four lines of chronometer text are what separate it from the 5513 at a glance and at the bank.

Our verdict: The vintage Sub to buy when you want the one collectors respect most. Condition and originality set the price, so buy the seller.

Configurations

Sizes40mm
Case & braceletOystersteel (stainless)
Factory braceletOyster
Factory bezelsFaded aluminum dive bezel; early square-crown-guard cases carry huge premiums
Notable dialsGilt gloss four-line (chronometer); Matte
Caliber1560 / 1570
Production1959 to 1978 (discontinued)

Recent recorded sales

SoldExamplePrice
Nov 2, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$26,100
Oct 6, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$15,500
Sep 3, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$11,350
Jul 29, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale$9,700
Jun 24, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale$10,500
Apr 27, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale$14,995

Recorded eBay completed sales, logged at our last data refresh.

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Quick answers

How much is a Rolex Submariner 5512 worth?

Recorded eBay sales from the last 12 months put the typical Rolex Submariner 5512 at $9,700, with the middle half selling between $7,800 and $12,000 (19 sales). Condition, box and papers move the price within that range.

Is the Rolex Submariner 5512 a good investment?

The Crown Index grades it F (39/100) from real resale data, and today's call is avoid. It has lost value; not one to buy as an investment. Past prices are not a forecast.