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Datejust · 2018 to present

Rolex Datejust 31 278274

“Midsize DJ”

76SCORE / 100
B
Grade B: solid, selectiveToday's call · Hold
Short termunder 1 yearWeakMid term1 to 3 yearsFairLong term3+ yearsStrong

Rank #59 of 113 rated pieces in the Rolex Vault

Retail (2026)$9,350
Typical sale today$12,200Typical range $11,500 to $13,000
Vs retail+31%
1-yearn/a

Market range: the middle half of 38 recorded eBay sales in the last 12 months.

Open in the interactive VaultLive eBay listings ↗︎

Market price history

Retail $9,350 202420252026 $12,000

Median recorded eBay sale price for each quarter with 3 or more sales. Dashed line marks the 2026 retail price.

Investment scorecard

Momentum50Measured price direction: the median recorded sale of the last 4 months against the median of 8 to 12 months ago. 50 means flat; small samples are pulled toward 50.
Liquidity54How easily it sells: recorded sales in the last 12 months (300 or more scores 100) and eBay's 90-day sell-through rate.
Scarcity69Demand against supply. For modern pieces, how far the market sits above or below current retail, plus a lift if production has ended. For vintage, how rarely one comes up for sale.
Value entry31Where the latest quarter's median sale sits inside its own 3-year range. Buying near the low scores high; buying at the high scores low.
Condition safety91How safe a typical example is: the age of the design, plus how tightly sale prices cluster (a wide spread means condition and originality swing the price).

The story

The current 31mm, sitting on the exact size the market is rushing toward. In production, so it trades at retail.

Its vintage ancestor, the 6827, is the hottest reference in the index. Draw your own conclusion about what discontinuation would do here.

The 31mm is the Goldilocks size the market forgot and then remembered: bigger than the ladies' 28, smaller than the men's 36, and a size the pre-owned market has warmed to.

Current production with the 2236 silicon-hairspring movement, yet it trades below retail pre-owned, the quiet arbitrage that defines the midsize Datejust market right now.

Our verdict: The future 6827. Buy at AD retail and let the size trend do the work.

Configurations

Sizes31mm
Case & braceletOystersteel, 18k white gold bezel
Factory braceletJubilee or Oyster (Jubilee most common)
Factory bezelsFluted white gold; Smooth (278240)
Notable dialsPink; Silver; Mint; Azzurro
Caliber2236
Production2018 to present

Recent recorded sales

SoldExamplePrice
Sep 1, 2026New/unworn · eBay sale ↗︎$12,500
Aug 31, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale ↗︎$11,000
Aug 12, 2026New/unworn · eBay sale ↗︎$12,850
Jul 16, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale$11,000
Jul 1, 2026New/unworn · eBay sale$12,000
Jun 26, 2026Pre-owned · eBay sale$12,000

Recorded eBay completed sales, logged at our last data refresh.

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Quick answers

How much is a Rolex Datejust 31 278274 worth?

Recorded eBay sales from the last 12 months put the typical Rolex Datejust 31 278274 at $12,200, with the middle half selling between $11,500 and $13,000 (38 sales). Condition, box and papers move the price within that range.

Does the Rolex Datejust 31 278274 sell above retail?

Yes. The typical sale of $12,200 is about 30% above the $9,350 retail price.

Is the Rolex Datejust 31 278274 a good investment?

The Crown Index grades it B (76/100) from real resale data, and today's call is hold. Solid resale, with limited room to grow from today's price. Past prices are not a forecast.